Connect with us


Grizzlies, Jaren Jackson Jr. stat controversy, explained: Reddit sparks discussion with betting implications


Jaren Jackson Jr. has been a favorite for Defensive Player of the Year over the past few weeks.Before Saturday, he was made the favorite to win the award at every major sportsbook, with odds falling below minus 200. When CBS Sports was made Mid-Season Award Picksseven out of eight voters chose Jackson as Defensive Player of the Year.

Then, on Saturday morning, a lengthy post grabbed my attention on Reddit. The thread by user u/ADMassive6666 is titled “Memphis Grizzlies Scorekeeper Posts Incorrect Numbers.The post itself claimed that the scorekeeper was working Grizzlies Home games had artificially inflated Jackson’s blocks and stolen bases. As a result, Jackson’s Defensive Player of the Year added momentum to his campaign.

Shortly thereafter, Caesars Sportsbook removed the Defensive Player of the Year odds from its board.Other books saw big moves to other candidates while the odds remained up. Athletic Fred Katzthe post “is now spreading across the league, not just the internet.”

The Grizzlies have Jackson’s back. Grizzlies head coach Taylor Jenkins called the criticism “ridiculous” after the team’s 112-100 win over the Indiana Pacers on Sunday, saying, “JJ is one of the best defensive players in the game. I’m so happy to have him on the team.” Jackson finished the game with 28 points, eight rebounds and five blocks.

The NBA is no stranger to citizen journalism.A scandal that ultimately lost its origin Philadelphia 76ers General Manager Brian Colangelo’s job was first revealed by a Twitter user. Ringer’s Ben Detrick Investigate further. But this is all new. Fans frequently use his media to complain about the treatment of players, but as Katz reported, the league is at least watching this, and for good reason. So let’s take a closer look at one of the strangest controversies in recent NBA history and why seemingly small differences in a few statistical columns can have a big impact on basketball’s future.

So… what’s the allegation here?

The core allegation of the post is that Jackson is being unfairly given extra blocks and steals by the Grizzlies scorekeeper when playing at home. In 16 home games, Jackson recorded 66 blocks and 22 steals. In his game of 17 roads, Jackson has blocked 37 shots and made only 12 steals. The post listed seven specific plays in which the writers believed Jackson had been unfairly awarded either a block or a steal. You can find all 7 videos herebut below is the first example quoted:

During the play, Zion Williamson got stuck in traffic and appeared to lose the ball without taking a shot. Jackson was awarded a block. Each of the seven clips alleges Jackson was wrongfully given credit for plays he didn’t make. , issued a statement outlining the league’s procedures for such matters.

“Auditors independent of on-site statisticians review all play and statistical decisions in real-time during NBA games to ensure the integrity of game statistics,” the statement said. read“If any changes are required, they will be made at that time or subject to post-game review. was scored as

NBA scorekeepers are not employed by the league. Instead, each team will have a scorekeeper in their home arena. According to Katz, the Grizzlies are using the same scorekeeper as last season. Historically speaking, home arena stat padding is a relatively common and accepted practice. This most often shows up in assists, the most obscure stat to track. The traditional definition of an assist is a pass that directly leads to a successful shot, but home scorekeepers tend to be more lenient with their passers than road scorekeepers.

The average home team has 25.3 buckets of assists per game this season, while the average road team finishes with just 24.6. Across the league, the difference is relatively small. May appear more aggressive to individual players. James Harden leads the way in assists this season, averaging 11.5 assists at home and 10.6 away. Blocks and steals are a bit more specific than assists, though, and the gap we’re talking about is significant, especially when it comes to blocking.

what does the movie say? what about the other numbers?

Kevin O’Connor of The Ringer posted a thread about Jackson’s block on Saturday afternoon. He watched all 66 of his in slow motion and found that only 3 of them were wrong. The thread as a whole gives an exhaustive discussion to the alleged relevance of stats padding in Memphis.

Also note that not all stats are tracked by official scorekeepers. Beginning in 2016, the NBA began tracking what he calls “Hustle” stats on to ESPN’s Zach Lowe, they were tracked by league-trained personnel from the NBA’s Secaucus Replay Center. For example, in Memphis, Jackson averaged 11.9 contested his shots and 1.9 of his deflections per game. Elsewhere, he averages 10 contested shots and his 1.3 deflections per game. This supports the idea that Jackson is a better defender at home than on the road.

As far as Jackson’s Defensive Player of the Year contender goes, he’s still a strong pick, regardless of how many low blocks he’s credited with. The Grizzlies still maintain his No. 1 defense in the NBA. They were in 20th place on the morning of November 15, when he made his season debut. That defense is 8 points better with him on the floor than without him per 100 possessions. Since Jackson’s debut, the Grizzlies have allowed opponents only 60% of his shots inside the restricted area. Since then, the gap to No. 2 Brooklyn (62.5%) is greater than the gap to No. 7 Oklahoma City (64.6%). In other words, there’s plenty of evidence to support Jackson being his protector at the NBA’s best rim, beyond the number of shots he’s blocked this season.

Why is this important?

Not so for ordinary fans. The outcome of the game is not determined by the number of blocks given to individual players by the scorekeeper. But financially speaking, the NBA isn’t just concerned with game results.

2021, NBA named FanDuel and DraftKings Its official sports betting partner. Caesars runs his arena sportsbook at Washington DC’s Capital One Arena. WizardFanDuel operates one at its home ground at the United Center in Chicago. bullsSports betting is no longer just adjacent to the league itself. They are official partners and sports betting relies on precision.

For example, a bettor bets that Jackson will fall below a certain number of blocks in a home game. If the way blocks are scored is not standardized and completely rock solid, the bettor feels cheated if a play like the first example listed on Reddit was the difference between winning and losing a bet. There is a possibility.

Voting for Defensive Player of the Year is an inherently imprecise undertaking, but all awards are somewhat subjective and narrative-based. Those betting on other candidates may feel that voters are voting with inaccurate information. Ironically, voters should weigh the numbers presented in this Reddit post. there is. Even if O’Connor’s suggestion that Jackson’s home only three of his blocks were misruled is accurate, some voters will have a hard time shaking those numbers out of their heads.

And then there are everyday fantasies. Imagine losing a million dollar contest because the winner had Jackson and got an extra block. The stakes are lower for fantasy across seasons, but the theoretical outcome is similar.

These are serious revenue-generating industries for the NBA right now, and however these disparities have arisen, the legitimacy of the entire company is being called into question. should consider more standardized scoring methods. If home scorekeepers are unfairly giving numbers, it may be worthwhile for leagues to keep stats remotely or employ their own scorekeepers rather than outsourcing that responsibility to teams. Hmm.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


Must See

More in NBA