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ESPN staff
Grapevine, Texas — The college football playoff selection committee has given undefeated Tennessee the #1 spot. its first ranking For the 2022 season, volunteers were in the top four for the first time in school history.
The Vols were followed by Ohio State in 2nd, Georgia in 3rd and Clemson in 4th.
Now that the first of the six rankings that will determine this year’s four-team playoffs have been announced, let’s take a look at the high-level takeaways. Who is mad, who will win if these four teams make it to his CFP, and what the 12-team bracket will look like.
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Anger Index | Featured | 12 Team Bracket
Georgia needs to win more than Vols on Saturday
Tennessee is at the top of college football.
Has the best resume in the country and the best win against Alabama. Even if Tennessee loses to Georgia on Saturday, if Alabama wins, the Vols could beat his SEC champions to finish the season 11-1 with him.
If Tennessee wins Saturday, even losing to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game could still be in the top 4, having split with the Crimson Tide and finishing as runners-up in the league.
Georgia seems to have less room for error, even in third place. play off. )
If Georgia loses on Saturday and doesn’t win the SEC East, they’ll have to desperately hope they can finish in the top four without winning a division. Now it’s clinging to a one-sided season opener victory over Oregon to boost its history. It’s the best win ever. No team is currently in the CFP top 25 without beating Tennessee to win the division title over their remaining opponents Mississippi, Kentucky and Georgia Tech.
Michigan’s nonconference schedule is holding back
Michigan needs to beat Ohio State.
With Tennessee and Georgia facing off on Saturday, it’s clear there’s some room in the top four if Georgia loses and is eliminated. But even if Georgia wins, he could have two SEC teams in the top four. This is not ideal for a Michigan team sitting in a bubble behind an undefeated Clemson team trying to win his ACC title.
Without a win against the Buckeyes, it would be difficult for the committee to justify Michigan’s promotion. The Wolverines’ non-conference schedule (Colorado, Hawaii, UConn) was terrible. Now, their only win against a CFP Top 25 team is No. 15 Penn State (although he has a chance against No. 16 Illinois this month). ). The same can be said about Ohio State when it comes to the Buckeyes’ best win, but apparently the committee prefers watching Ohio State movies over Michigan.
Pac-12 is not yet finished
Pac-12 haven’t had a team reach the CFP since Washington in 2016, but with No. 8 Oregon and No. 9 USC both in the top 10, the league could end the drought there is.
Tennessee and Georgia still have to play each other, and given that Michigan and Ohio will play, there will be a move on them. You may lose in between. Alabama has her two grueling trips to LSU and Ole he misses looming. Clemson was at Notre Dame on Saturday and still has to face rival South Carolina before his game in the ACC Championship.
Pac-12 will help if TCU loses. This is possible because the Horned He Frogs have to win on the road against both Baylor and He No. 24 Texas. Oregon has some big opportunities to impress the selection committee where he ranked 14th in Utah and 23rd in Oregon. It’s also possible that USC and Oregon will face off in the Conference Championship Game, and it’s almost certain that they’ll be different ranked opponents. But Oregon must overcome a terrible loss to Georgia. The 49-3 loss is by far the biggest for a team in CFP.
Twelfth-placed UCLA has more than one loss. In 2014, Ohio State ranked him 16th in their CFP initial rankings. He then won a national title. No team has started lower than that.
TCU and the Big 12 Should Worry
The undefeated Frogs are behind a one-loss Alabama. And, arguably, they have a better resume than the Tide. The Frogs’ best wins are against No. 13 Kansas and his No. 18 Oklahoma. — Heather Dinich
anger index
It’s been a raging season in college football, and Tuesday’s release of the first CFP rankings for 2022 has sparked a lot of anger.
Here’s the Fury Index for Week 10 of the College Football Playoffs.
1. TCU (8-0) 7th place: Yes we know the debate. TCU was not dominant. If the criteria for the team immediately ahead of Horned Frogs is dominance, it’s a case of potentially holding water.
TCU has recorded eight drives in the second half of the season. That’s actually one less than fourth place Clemson.
TCU has 3 wins by 7 points or less, while the next team up (Alabama) is 2-1.
TCU has not proven sufficient to overcome some of its obvious shortcomings. But hey, Michigan’s victory over Maryland by his 7-point margin, his second strongest opponent for the Wolverines this year, must have really impressed the committee.
The people in the Commission Room claim to only care about resumes – who did you beat? – and don’t look ahead or consider past seasons. How will TCU’s 7th place placement be flipped or flipped?
4:20
ESPN’s College Football Crew explains the Top 6 Rankings of the College Football Playoffs.
Horned Frogs have four wins against ranked teams. This is the same as Michigan, Georgia and Alabama combined.
Horned Frog has four road wins, twice as many as Ohio, Georgia, Michigan and Alabama.
The Horned Frogs made 20 offensive plays in the 4th quarter. This is just three more than Georgia, and he faced better opposition than Missouri.
Horned Frogs are #3 on ESPN’s record strength. It measures the probability that the average top 25 teams will have the same record for the same schedule. This is ahead of Georgia at No. 5, Alabama at No. 6 and Michigan at No. 7.
But here’s the bigger debate about how scheduling difficulties should be taken into account. Yes, Tennessee and Georgia won big, and TCU could very well have lost against Oregon or Alabama. But playing on a schedule that includes one very difficult opponent and lots of cupcakes (like Georgia) versus a decent (if not elite) top 25 team (like TCU). Which is harder for him to play for a month?
TCU’s argument is strong. The Commission is stronger as it appeared to show confidence in the Big 12’s quality over the rest of the rankings. (Kansas and Texas performed better in his CFP ranking than in the polls.) So it’s a shame that the horned toad wasn’t trusted. The opening rankings don’t mean much in the big picture, but they do set the stage.As it stands, TCU has done as much to save Tennessee as it did to save Alabama. not so much that it surpasses the
In Tennessee, Georgia, Michigan, Alabama and Ohio, the season will determine who makes the top four starting with this week’s SEC school games. But for TCU, these rankings suggest that winning is not the only goal. The Horned Frogs need to win bigger and win better, but hopefully the higher-ranked teams will fade enough to persuade the Commission to change their perceptions.
2. UCLA (7-1), 12th: Are the Bruins behind USC? The Trojans played two decent teams in Utah and Oregon. They nearly lost to Beaver and lost to Ute. But UCLA? The Bruins’ only loss was to a top 10 opponent (Oregon State), where they beat Utah.
3. Tulane (7-1), 19th: The good news is that Tulane is the top ranked Group 5 team. The bad news is Greenwave ranks sixth behind him in Kansas. Kansas has two losses, one to Tulane.
4. Michigan (8-0), 5th: Wolverine’s weak nonconference schedule is their undoing. Interesting that this is after canceling a non-conference series with UCLA. So Jim Harbaugh said, “I’m really upset that the game with the Bruins was canceled.”
5. Florida (5-3), unranked: Why is Florida not ranked while Texas is ranked 5th to 3rd? The Longhorns lost three close games to Alabama, Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. . So are the Seminoles in his three ranked teams in Clemson, Wake Forest and North Carolina. But while Texas’ best win is against the best and average Oklahoma, FSU has a win against his No. 10 LSU. Is it better for him to lose one point to Alabama than to win him one point to LSU? — David Hale
game selection
The Caesars Sportsbook updated the odds for the national championship on Tuesday. No. 1 Tennessee went +1000 to win the title after starting the season at +10000. Ohio is the most popular at +190, followed by Georgia (+200) and Alabama (+375). Here’s how an ESPN writer sees how the semifinals are faring in the current standings.
Andrea Adelson: Tennessee 35, Clemson 31. Georgia 30, Ohio 27
Blake Baumgartner: Tennessee 38, Clemson 20. Ohio 38, Georgia 35
Kyle Bonagra: Tennessee 38, Clemson 17. Georgia 35, Ohio 31
Bill Connery: Tennessee 48, Clemson 24. Georgia 28, Ohio 27
Heather Dinich: Tennessee 42, Clemson 21. Ohio 24, Georgia 21
Chris Lowe: Tennessee 42, Clemson 21. Ohio 30, Georgia 27
Harry Lyles Jr.: Tennessee 45, Clemson 27. Ohio 27, Georgia 31
Ryan Magee: Tennessee 48, Clemson 24. Ohio 30, Georgia 28
Adam Littenberg: Tennessee 30, Clemson 27. Ohio 34, Georgia 30
Alex Scarborough: Tennessee 45, Clemson 24. Georgia 35, Ohio 34
Paolo Ughetti: Tennessee 41, Clemson 28. Georgia 34, Ohio 37
Tom Van Haren: Tennessee 31, Clemson 20. Georgia 31, Ohio 38
Dave Wilson: Tennessee 42, Clemson 27. Georgia 33, Ohio 29
What the 12-team playoffs look like
All with the power to expand the college football playoffs want the field to expand to 12 teams in time for the 2024 season.
However, expansion is currently scheduled to begin in 2026. So, while discussions continue on how to move forward on the timeline, we’re looking at what the 12-team playoffs might look like today, based on the already-determined model released by the Commissioner. and the president.
This field will consist of the top six conference champions from the selection committee and the next top six teams. The four highest-ranked conference champions will earn the top seed and his first-round byes. The other eight teams will play in the first round, with the top seed hosting the bottom seed on campus or another location of your choice.
If the 12-team format were played today, the playoffs would look like this:
goodbye seeds
1. Tennessee
2. Ohio
3. Clemson
4. TCU
remaining seeds
(conference champion bold)
5. Georgia
6. Michigan
7. Alabama
8. Oregon
9.USC
10.LSU
11. Olemis
12. Tulane
1st round
No. 12 Tulane vs. No. 5 Georgia
No. 11 Ole Miss at No. 6 Michigan
No. 7 Alabama’s No. 10 LSU
No. 8 Oregon No. 9 USC
quaterfinals
No.9 USC-No. 8 Winner Oregon vs. No. 1 Tennessee
No.10 LSU-No. 7th Alabama vs. 2nd Ohio State University
No. 11 Ole Miss-No. 6 Michigan Winner vs. No. 3 Clemson
No. 12 Tulane-No. 5 Georgia winner vs. 4th place TCU
— Dinich
