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Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Monday

ESPN’s fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pre-game destination for basketball betting predictions and the best information and data to help you make wise fantasy and betting decisions. The November 14 NBA game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is based on ESPN 10 team leagues.


What to know about Monday’s game

Los Angeles, we have a problem: The Clippers have struggled to win in convincing fashion this season, and as if that wasn’t enough reason to worry about covering tonight’s numbers, there’s another reason. This season. These two teams had already faced him twice, and although the Cripps won both meetings, the Rockets were leading the second half in both contests.

Raptors Rating: Toronto will miss three regulars tonight, but they’re still big favorites in Detroit. Cade Cunningham– Fewer pistons. It can be hard to be happy with the Raptors, but remember that since the beginning of last season, his ATS is he’s 11-4 when they’re favored on tour. Despite the number of missing players, sportsbooks have consistently underestimated Canada’s best player to play in the United States.

Rich Points: This Hornets vs. Magic game is priced based on full season data, which could be a buying opportunity. Totals are currently in the high 220s, which on the surface looks good (these teams add up to an average of 119.1 points per game).But… Hornets increased pace, decreased defensive efficiency lamelo ballGet back into action while the magic could come Paolo Banchero (ankle) behind. Ball’s stats make sense given the way he plays, with Orlando averaging 248.3 points in November when the rookie suited up. Given that Banchero has been cleared and the Magic won’t be playing this weekend and will be off again tomorrow, this total is likely to go up and it seems reasonable to think he can challenge.

Vol position: With their backcourt depleted by injuries, the Orlando Magic experimented with starting multiple centers and forwards leaning into long lineups. Bolbol, a two-way marvel who beat about 8% of his opponents’ 2-point attempts while he was on the floor. If this sounds silly, it’s because Bol leads his NBA in block percentage while also reviewing the minutes regularly, making him a proficient rebounder. Heading into tonight’s matchup against the Hornets he’s only 39% in the ESPN league. not.

Stream team: Monday’s 7-game slate leaves room for the fantasy roster to consider streaming contenders early in the week. for example, Pascal Siakam Missed tonight for the Raptors, Chris Boucher (53% available) has 39 points in his last two games and could be useful in some blocks.there will be no bucks Jules Holiday Jumped over again as he injured his ankle again in tonight’s game against the Hawks Jevon Carter (93%) in a key offensive role as the team’s main distributor. Reggie Jackson (85%) while both could play equally rewarding roles for the Clippers John Wall When Kawai Leonard Missed tonight’s game against Houston.

Betting Bojan: With the piston exhausted, Bojan Bogdanovic Be prepared for long queues. The veteran forward has averaged 26.5 points over the past two games and will likely be called upon to help carry the offense without Cunningham or another player in the rotation. being a free agent in the league while also having strong DFS numbers ($5,600 in DraftKings).


game of the night

Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks
8:00 p.m. ET Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

line: dollar (-4)
Moneyline: Bucks (-178), Hawks (+150)
total: 226 points
Total BPI Forecast: 228.5 points
BPI Winrate: Hawks (51.7%)

likely: Grayson Allen, Giannis Antetokounmpo
exclude: Bogdan Bogdanovic (knees)
Note: BPI numbers are excluded but take into account players we expect to play with suspicious players

Fantasy Streamer: Jevon Carter (Available in 90.5% leagues) Jrue Holiday is out and we may have another start tonight. He’s been monster his game in a row (28.5 PPG, 9.0 APG, 5.0 3PG) but likely to return after Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) missed his last two games I’m tempering my expectations because it’s listed as chris middleton It’s also listed as a game time decision, and it’s clear that Bucks’ second option is to slot in whenever he can come back (even for a limited amount of time). Carter is unlikely to come close to the amount of usage he gets. Nonetheless, he’s been playing well and could put in another fantasy starter-worthy performance on Monday. — Snellings

Best bet: Trae Young 26.5 points or moreYoung has historically burned out this iteration of the Bucks. Last season he averaged 33.0 PPG (53.4 FG%), 10.7 APG and 4.3 3PG in his three games, and this season he has averaged 42 points (46.9 FG%), 5 assists and 5 assists. did. 3 pointers. With Drew Holiday out, Young should look better than usual against the Bucks. — Snellings

Disassemble the rest of the slate

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors
7:00 p.m. ET, Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

line: Raptors (-5)
Moneyline: Raptors (-210), Pistons (+175)
total: 221 points
Total BPI Forecast: 220 points
BPI Winrate: Raptors (63.7%)

i doubt it: Cory Joseph (hip)
exclude: Cade Cunningham (shin), Gary Trent Jr.. (hip), Fred VanVleet
Note: BPI numbers are excluded but take into account players we expect to play with suspicious players

Fantasy streamers: Otto Porter Jr.(Available in 98.5% leagues) He had a spot start on Saturday due to an injury to the Raptors and was able to make another start on Monday. Yes, averaging 10.0 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 1.5 APG, 1.5 SPG, 1.0 3PG for 25.0 MPG over the last two games. Porter’s production ability is more all-around than quantity, but if he’s getting starter time, he’s definitely worth a look, especially in category leagues. — Snellings

Best bet: Bojan Bogdanovic with 18.5+ pointsWith Cade Cunningham (shin) out the last two games, the Pistons’ offense focused on Bogdanovic. He averaged 26.5 PPG in his two games with the Celtics and Knicks. Bogdanovic said earlier this season he averaged 24.8 PPG in five straight games, and in every game he scored at least 21 points. on monday. — Snellings

Charlotte Hornets of the Orlando Magic
7:00 p.m. ET, Amway Center, Orlando, FL

line: Magic power (-1)
Moneyline: Magic (-120), Wasp (+100)
total: 224 points
Total BPI Forecast: 228.8 points
BPI Winrate: Hornets (57.6%)

i doubt it: Dennis Smith Jr.. (ankle)
i doubt it: Paolo Banchero (ankle)
exclude: Gordon Hayward (shoulder)
Note: BPI numbers are excluded but take into account players we expect to play with suspicious players

Best bet: Hornets +1.0 LaMelo Ball made his season debut Saturday night against the Heat. He finished with 15 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists. The Magic are a middle-of-the-road team defensively, ranking 15th in points per 100 possessions allowed. So far, the Hornets average PPG is just his 108.7. However, Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in games over 112.4 points.I believe they can surpass that number once the ball is back on the court. — Eric Moody

Miami Heat’s Phoenix Suns
Miami, FL 7:30 PM ET FTX Arena

line: Heat (-2)
Moneyline: heat (-130), sun (​​+110)
total: 215 points
Total BPI Forecast: 221.4 points
BPI Winrate: Heat (56.5%)

i doubt it: Tyler Hero (ankle), Dwayne Dedmon (leg), Chris Paul (Heel)
Note: BPI numbers are excluded but take into account players we expect to play with suspicious players

Fantasy streamers: Cameron Payne (Available in 89.8% leagues) Chris Paul (heel) would be a great streamer if he sat down again. Payne started his last two games in place of Paul, averaging 22.5 PPG, 6.0 APG, 4.5 3PG, 4.5 RPG, and his 1.0 SPG where he posted 35.0 MPG. Paul returned to practice on Sunday, but he wasn’t sure if he would be able to play on Monday.Before you stream Payne, keep an eye on Paul’s status. — Snellings

Best bet: Suns +2.0 The Suns rank among the top five in points earned per 100 possessions and points per 100 possessions allowed, while the Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records, with 1-6 ATS post wins. is 8. — Moody

LA Clippers at Houston Rockets
8:00 p.m. ET Toyota Center, Houston, TX

line: Clipper (-5.5)
Moneyline: Clippers (-225), Rockets (+185)
total: 219.5 points
Total BPI Forecast: 228.7 points
BPI Winrate: Clipper (61.5%)

i doubt it: Jalen Green (shoulder)
exclude: John Wall (knee), Kawhi Leonard (knee)
Note: BPI numbers are excluded but take into account players we expect to play with suspicious players

Fantasy streamers: Terrance Mann (Available in 96.3% leagues) and Reggie Jackson (Available in 84.3% leagues) Both are likely to make noteworthy efforts on Monday. John Wall sits back-to-back front half for load management. The last time Wall sat down was on November 7 against the Cavaliers, when Mann started with 16 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds, 2 steals and 3-pointers in 30 minutes while Jackson scored 18. , shone with 7 assists and 2 rebounds. Two 3-pointers in 36 minutes. — Snellings

Best bet: Paul George’s 37.5+ points + assists + reboundsWith John Wall and Kawhi Leonard already ruled out, the Clippers will continue to rely heavily on George. He has played with the Rockets on his two occasions so far this season, averaging 31.5 PPG, 6.5 APG, and 6.5 RPG. The Rockets rank him 29th in points per 100 possessions allowed. — Moody

San Antonio Spurs of the Golden State Warriors
10 p.m. ET Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

line: Warrior (-7.5)
Moneyline: Warriors (-320), Spurs (+250)
total: 233 points
Total BPI Forecast: 236.2 points
BPI Winrate: Warrior (75.9%)

Best bet: Spurs +7.5The Spurs have enough talent to keep this game close. Despite not scoring many points, San Antonio shoots the ball very well and has an effective field goal percentage of 55.1%, which is his sixth highest in the league. The Warriors have struggled defensively this season, and he ranks 24th in points per 100 possessions allowed. The Spurs have gone 9-3 ATS in their last 12 away games. — Moody

Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
7:30 p.m. ET TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

line: Celtics (-12)
Moneyline: Celtics (-650), Thunder (+460)
total: 228.5 points
Total BPI Forecast: 225.6 points
BPI Winrate: Celtics (90.7%)

i doubt it: Darius Bazley, Treman (return)
exclude: Malcolm Brogdon
Note: BPI numbers are excluded but take into account players we expect to play with suspicious players

Best bet: Thunder +12The Thunder have only lost two games this season by more than 12 points, and the Celtics have won just four of their 13 games. The Thunder are a scruffy, competitive team with a positive scoring margin during the season. They’re late in the streak, but they effectively blew the Knicks out in New York on Sunday, so their players have a chance to bounce back again on Monday. — Snellings


Analytics edge

BPI Highest Forecast Sum

1. Godren State Warriors (122.1 points)
2. Boston Celtics (120 points)
3. LA Clippers (116 points)

BPI lowest forecast total

1. Oklahoma City Thunder (105.6 points)
2. Detroit Pistons (109.8 points)
3rd place Phoenix Suns (109.8 points)

BPI Highest Probability of Winning (Straight Up)

1. Boston Celtics (90.7%)
2. Golden State Warriors (75.9%)
3. Toronto Raptors (63.7%)

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