Of the Power Five teams that opened the 2022 college football season as conference favorites, only two have maintained that status after the first four weeks of the season. And according to the oddsmakers, there are several widely open meetings.
With October just days away, let’s take a look at how the conference title odds have changed in the first third of the season. Now could be your chance to get some good bets ahead of Saturday’s big game.
ACC
It’s still Clemson and everyone else in the ACCThe Tigers were -145 to win the conference before the season, but are now -165 after a 4-0 start and a win over Wake Forest. North Carolina State was second favorite with +600, but Miami had +700, despite his 2-2 losses to Texas A&M State and Central Tennessee.
Florida increased significantly from +3000 to +750. The Seminoles are ranked ahead of their showdown with the Demon Deacons in Week 5. Wake Forest’s odds improved slightly at +4000 despite the loss of Clemson due to the return of QB Sam Hartman.
With Clemson facing North Carolina State and a Wake Forest game against FSU on Saturday, if any Atlantic Division team of those four teams wins the conference and is confident of winning Week 5, , you must place your bet now. Your odds will deteriorate after the match.
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Clemson (-165)
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NC state (+600)
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Miami (+700)
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Florida (+750)
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Pittsburgh (+1000)
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North Carolina (+1600)
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Wake Forest (+4000)
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Syracuse (+4000)
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Virginia Tech (+10000)
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Duke (+10000)
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Louisville (+20000)
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Virginia (+20000)
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Boston University (+50000)
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Georgia Tech (+50000)
big ten
Big Ten winners are very likely to come from the East Division of the conference.
The top three division favorites are from the East, and Ohio State is the most dominant favorite among all Power Five conferences. The Buckeyes are -250 to win the Big Ten after starting the season at -225. Michigan is the second most popular with +500. The Wolverines will face the Buckeyes in Columbus this season.
Penn State is the third favorite at +800 after a 4-0 start. Minnesota is the top team in the West with +850 after a disorganized start for the other teams in that division. Wisconsin dropped from +1200 to +4000 before Week 1.
Two other teams have seen their odds cratered. Nebraska was +1800 before the season and is now at +40000 after a rocky start. Michigan State has the same odds after going +2500 the week before.
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Ohio (-250)
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Michigan (+500)
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Pennsylvania (+800)
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Minnesota (+850)
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Wisconsin (+4000)
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Iowa (+5000)
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Maryland (+8000)
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Purdue (+11000)
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Illinois (+12000)
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Indiana (+20000)
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Michigan (+40000)
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Nebraska (+40000)
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Northwest (+50000)
big 12
The Big 12 is college football’s most open conference so far, thanks to Kansas State upset Oklahoma in Week 4.
The Big 12 has five teams that win the conference at odds of +600 or better, and none at odds of +320 or better. Oklahoma entered the season with +200 to win the Big 12 Now at +400 after losing to the Wildcats.
Baylor will take over the mantle as conference favorite at +320 and have a big game against Oklahoma State on Saturday in a rematch of the 2021 Big 12 title game. The Cowboys also won the conference with +400 and are the only team in the top 5 currently undefeated.
Kansas State is the second favorite to win the conference at +375. The Wildcats lost to Tulane in Week 3 prior to their loss in Oklahoma. Texas is still hanging out at +600 despite his 2-2 start. The Longhorns lost in overtime to Texas Tech in Week 4.
Kansas, on the other hand, still hasn’t earned the respect of the oddsmakers. The 4-0 Jayhawks lost to Iowa State on Saturday, with both teams winning the conference by +4000. Only West Virginia has lower odds.
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Baylor (+320)
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Kansas (+375)
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Oklahoma (+400)
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Oklahoma (+400)
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Texas (+600)
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TCUs (+1000)
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Texas Tech (+1800)
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Iowa (+4000)
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Kansas (+4000)
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West Virginia (+5000)
Pac-12
The Pac-12 also have a fair amount of parity at the top of the conference, with odds of +550 or better for four teams that put them in the title game.
Utah are the favorites at +160 after losing to Florida in Week 1. The Utes looked like the dominant team expected in 2022 after the Florida game. USC wins conference by +180 After opening as a little favourite. The Trojans were unable to maintain a +14 turnover margin in four games, and survived the threat at Oregon State in Week 4.
Oregon is +400 after a comeback win in Washington State in Week 4. The Ducks have had wins over Washington State and his BYU Cougars in the past two weeks.
Washington is +550 to take the Pac-12 after a hot start. Washington started the season at +1600 after his 4-8 disaster in the 2021 season.
Don’t forget that the Pac-12, like the Big 12, determines the entrants of the title game. There will be no divisions and the top two teams in the conference will meet in the conference title game.
SEC
There are still teams with a better-than-even chance of winning in the SEC. And not Alabama.
Crimson Tide wins conference preseason at -140 Passed to Georgia as a conference favorite. Georgia, who was +150 before the season, won the conference at -110 after jumping over Alabama for a dominant start to the season and No. 1 in his AP Top 25.
Alabama is now +105. A great return if the No. 2 Crimson Tide is still confident it can win the conference again. Remember, Alabama won her SEC in 2021 before Georgia won the national title.
There is no other person at the conference who can rightfully claim to be a competitor. Tennessee is +2200 and he is third, Texas A&M is +2500.
